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© Oxford University Press

Estimates for different stages of HIVIAIDS disease

S.R. Wilson 1 and P.J. Solomon

Centre for Mathematics and its Applications, Australian National University, Canberra ACT 0200 and Statistics Department, University of Adelaide Adelaide SA 5005, Australia

1To whom reprint requests should be sent

Software for estimating current and future numbers in different stages of the natural history of HIV infection has been developed. This is based on a general multistage model for the natural history of HIV/AIDS disease, allowing for treatment effects. The multistage model has been incorporated into the general back-projection procedure. For illustration, Australian AIDS data are used here.

Received on December 20, 1993; accepted on August 1, 1994

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